Sovereign Debt

Together with scary high unemployment rates in many European countries, especially among young people, the debt levels are more than scaring. It is unbelievable how so called responsible governments (read; Germany, France and the UK) have allowed European debts to raise. This is pure speculation but have they been willing to let other countries increase their debt so they could avoid criticism for doing exactly the same themselves?

European Financial Metrics – Debt/GDP (MMs of Euros)

European Financial Metrics – 2010 GDP Ranking (MMs of Euros)

France and Germany are in no way capable of bailing out Spain and Italy. In fact Spain is far better off when it comes to level of debts than the three others, question is if Spain can raise its growth enabling them to maintain the loans.

The Problem Is Not Just Europe (All Currency In USD at 1.40 exchange rate)

The US is actually in a no better situation than the countries worst out in Europe. Their advantage may be still able to borrow at reasonable cost, but if bringing in unfunded liabilities (Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid) the US Government is insolvent!

Where will this end?

No one is willing to start taking the losses which must come. The Norwegian government is signalling willingness putting more money into IMF. But how can that help? A couple of decades back we had a saying “Cut Losses and let Profit run”. The way this is handled now is only making one thing certain in those countries worst off – unemployment is growing and GDP is shrinking. Face reality take the losses now, restructure and get things moving in the right direction.

EC Facts

Source; Eurostat and Continental Capital Partners LLC

 

Lars Johan Myrtroen, has 40 years experience in international financing and runs his operations from London, England. He established M-broking in the early 80′s and running Stavanger Bank in the Eastern part of Norway. Euro Export Invest AS was established in Oslo in 1998 owning four IT and security companies, with KSD as the leading company holding offices throughout Europe and he has been participating in several start-ups in the US, Philippines, Norway and the UK, among others British Armouring Manufacturing Inc, and Birdstep Technology ASA (Public, Norway). Also major investor in “Norges Energi AS“. He has experience from the bio-metric industry, serving as chairman of BioPrint AS, Norway, and adviser to and Director in GenKey Inc, San Francisco. Acting today as Executive Chairman in EC Capital Management Ltd, trading as Economic Consultants. He enjoys golf and started Grenland Golf Club in Skien Norway in 1980 and served as a Board Member in the Norwegian Golf Association for 4 years.

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